FNUS75 KBOU 081229 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD STAGE FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 529 AM MST THU JAN 8 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TODAY. LIGHT DRAINAGE WINDS THROUGH SUNRISE WILL INCREASE AGAIN BY MID- MORNING AS DAYTIME WARMING ALLOWS WINDS ALOFT TO MIX TO THE SURFACE. WEATHER WILL BE DRY AND WARM WITH LOW HUMIDITIES BY LATE MORNING. WINDS THIS EVENING SHOULD DECREASE TO TYPICAL DRAINAGE PATTERNS BY 2100. ON FRIDAY...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING A SHIFT OF THE WIND TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WILL COOLER TEMPERATURES...HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-64. MIN HUMIDITY........16-22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY AFTER 0900. WEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 17-27 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3500-4500 FT AGL AFTER 0900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL 2200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-36. MAX HUMIDITY........46-54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 14-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN WEST 6-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL AFTER 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-44. MIN HUMIDITY........32-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 11-17 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 7000-8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR OLD STAGE FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/08-05 19 0 42 37 W 24 33 3 1 NW22 1196 W 25 25334 P 01/08-06 19 0 42 36 W 24 1 1209 W 25 26072 P 01/08-07 19 0 43 34 W 24 1 1221 W 25 26811 P 01/08-08 9 0 46 31 W 24 33 3 1 NW21 1234 W 26 27551 P 01/08-09 9 0 49 29 W 22 1 1962 W 26 45399 F 01/08-10 9 0 53 27 W 20 1 2691 W 28 63247 G 01/08-11 9 0 56 25 W 18 25 3 1 NW43 3420 W 28 81094 G 01/08-12 9 0 59 23 W 17 1 3787 W 31 101394 V 01/08-13 19 0 60 21 W 18 1 4155 NW 33 121693 V 01/08-14 19 0 61 20 W 18 25 4 1 NW47 4523 NW 37 141991 V 01/08-15 19 0 60 20 W 20 1 3651 W 36 112595 V 01/08-16 19 0 58 21 W 20 1 2780 W 35 83198 G 01/08-17 19 0 53 25 W 20 26 4 1 NW54 1909 W 33 53801 F 01/08-18 19 0 50 28 W 17 1 1615 W 32 45002 F 01/08-19 19 0 47 31 W 15 1 1322 W 32 36204 P 01/08-20 20 0 46 33 W 15 21 3 1 W66 1028 W 31 27405 P 01/08-21 20 0 44 36 W 15 1 838 W 33 23142 P 01/08-22 20 0 42 38 W 16 1 647 W 35 18879 P 01/08-23 20 10 40 40 W 17 24 3 1 W74 456 W 38 14615 P 01/09-00 20 10 39 43 W 18 1 399 W 33 11834 P 01/09-01 20 10 38 45 W 18 1 343 W 29 9053 P 01/09-02 31 10 37 46 W 18 25 2 1 W76 285 W 25 6272 P 01/09-03 31 10 36 48 W 20 1 396 W 28 9961 P 01/09-04 31 10 36 49 W 21 1 506 W 30 13649 P 01/09-05 63 10 35 48 W 22 31 2 1 W55 616 W 32 17338 P 01/09-06 63 10 36 47 W 17 1 1492 W 31 37762 P 01/09-07 63 10 34 48 NW 13 1 2291 W 30 55457 F 01/09-08 63 10 35 46 NW 10 10 2 1 W43 3090 W 28 73153 G 01/09-09 63 10 36 43 NW 10 1 3777 W 26 83921 G 01/09-10 63 10 37 40 NW 12 1 4464 NW 25 94690 G 01/09-11 79 10 38 38 NW 14 20 2 1 W28 5151 NW 24 105458 V 01/09-12 79 10 39 36 NW 15 1 6409 NW 23 122368 V 01/09-13 79 10 40 34 NW 15 1 7669 NW 22 139277 V 01/09-14 79 10 40 34 NW 15 21 2 1 NW24 8928 NW 21 156187 E 01/09-15 79 10 39 34 NW 14 1 7650 NW 22 142493 V 01/09-16 79 10 38 35 NW 13 1 6372 NW 24 128799 V 01/09-17 74 10 34 40 NW 12 12 2 1 N22 5094 NW 26 115104 V 01/09-18 74 10 32 42 NW 10 1 4070 NW 24 89315 G 01/09-19 74 10 30 44 W 9 1 3045 NW 23 63525 G 01/09-20 74 10 28 45 W 9 9 2 1 N18 2020 NW 22 37735 P 01/09-21 74 10 27 46 W 12 1 1583 NW 22 29555 P 01/09-22 74 10 26 47 W 14 1 1146 W 22 21374 P 01/09-23 58 1 25 48 W 15 21 3 1 NW24 709 W 22 13194 P 01/10-00 58 1 24 50 W 14 1 619 W 22 11463 P 01/10-01 58 1 23 51 W 13 1 529 W 22 9733 P 01/10-02 58 1 22 53 W 12 12 3 1 N31 439 W 22 8002 P 01/10-03 58 1 22 54 W 13 1 418 W 20 6908 P 01/10-04 58 1 22 55 W 14 1 396 W 17 5814 P 01/10-05 36 0 21 55 W 15 21 3 1 NW24 374 W 15 4720 P 01/10-06 36 0 21 56 W 16 1 496 W 18 8561 P 01/10-07 36 0 22 54 W 17 1 618 W 22 12401 P 01/10-08 36 0 24 49 W 17 24 3 1 NW31 739 W 25 16242 P 01/10-09 36 0 27 43 W 17 1 1177 NW 25 25284 P 01/10-10 36 0 30 38 W 16 1 1616 NW 25 34325 P 01/10-11 36 0 33 34 W 16 22 3 1 N26 2054 NW 24 43367 F 01/10-12 36 0 36 31 W 17 1 2236 NW 22 40666 F 01/10-13 36 0 37 29 W 18 1 2418 NW 18 37965 P 01/10-14 36 0 38 28 W 20 26 3 1 NW31 2600 NW 16 35264 P 01/10-15 36 0 37 28 W 20 1 2035 NW 17 28740 P 01/10-16 36 0 36 30 W 21 1 1471 W 18 22215 P 01/10-17 33 0 32 34 W 21 29 4 1 NW43 906 W 21 15691 P 01/10-18 33 0 29 38 W 22 1 707 W 22 12501 P 01/10-19 33 0 27 42 W 23 1 507 W 22 9310 P 01/10-20 33 0 26 45 W 23 32 3 1 N33 307 W 23 6120 P 01/10-21 33 0 24 49 W 22 1 262 W 24 5248 P 01/10-22 33 0 23 53 W 21 1 217 W 24 4376 P 01/10-23 33 0 22 57 W 21 29 3 1 NW31 172 W 24 3505 P 01/11-00 33 0 21 58 W 22 1 168 W 25 3547 P 01/11-01 33 0 20 57 W 23 1 164 W 26 3590 P 01/11-02 33 0 19 57 W 24 33 2 1 NW40 159 W 26 3632 P 01/11-03 33 0 19 57 W 23 1 153 W 25 3393 P 01/11-04 33 0 18 56 W 21 1 148 W 25 3155 P 01/11-05 44 0 18 57 W 20 26 3 1 N22 142 W 24 2916 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROD MORAGA REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090108.OLDST.01/BOU