FNUS72 KTAE 091133
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 320...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
633 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON JANUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE REGION
TODAY AND COMBINE WITH WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO PRODUCE A PERIOD
OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND NORTH FLORIDA. THE
AIRMASS WILL MOISTEN INTO SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. THIS COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING
WITH MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR ARRIVING. THE RETURN OF THIS DRY
AIRMASS COULD POTENTIALLY CREATE ANOTHER ROUND OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS
ON MONDAY. LOW RAIN CHANCES AND COOL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT SKY COVER).
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    EAST SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    EAST SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH BY 3 PM EST.
DISPERSION INDEX....31.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........SUNNY  SUNNY  SUNNY  SUNNY  SUNNY  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     57     63     67     61     55
RH..............48     35     27     24     34     49
20 FT WIND......NE 3   NE 6   E 6    ESE 8  SE 6   S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.              10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-15 PERCENT SKY COVER).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING CALM BY
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT SKY COVER).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3300 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 10 TO
                    17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.

$$

FORECASTER GODSEY
REQUESTED BY...EUGENE WATKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090109.BURNU.01/TAE