FNUS75 KBOU 102026 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK RESEARCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 111 PM MST SAT JAN 10 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MODERATE TO STRONG WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL WEAKEN SOMEWHAT THIS EVENING...THEN INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK DISTURBANCE. THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS AS THE SYSTEM PASSES TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE STATE...WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER THE RIDGETOPS AT THAT TIME. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-32. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 13-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. 14K-FT WINDS........NORTHWEST 25-35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE NEAR RIDGETOP AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10-12. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 11-21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING. 14K-FT WINDS........NORTHWEST 20-30 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE NEAR RIDGETOP. MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-29. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-12 MPH. 14K-FOOT WINDS......NORTHWEST WINDS 35-45 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ELK RESEARCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/10-13 63 0 28 32 W 20 1 4375 W 25 96311 G 01/10-14 63 0 28 33 W 21 33 2 1 N32 4981 W 25 111605 V 01/10-15 63 0 28 36 W 21 1 4450 W 25 97343 G 01/10-16 63 0 27 40 W 21 1 3919 W 24 83081 G 01/10-17 63 0 24 47 W 18 31 2 1 NW39 3388 W 23 68819 G 01/10-18 63 0 22 52 W 18 1 2982 W 23 59901 F 01/10-19 63 0 21 55 W 17 1 2577 W 23 50982 F 01/10-20 63 0 19 58 W 16 25 2 1 NW43 2171 W 22 42064 F 01/10-21 63 0 18 60 W 16 1 1996 W 22 38515 P 01/10-22 63 0 17 62 W 17 1 1822 W 22 34965 P 01/10-23 52 0 16 63 W 18 30 2 1 NW38 1648 W 22 31416 P 01/11-00 52 0 15 65 W 18 1 1588 W 23 32168 P 01/11-01 52 0 15 67 W 17 1 1529 W 25 32920 P 01/11-02 52 0 14 69 W 17 28 2 1 NW44 1470 W 26 33672 P 01/11-03 52 0 14 70 W 17 1 1343 W 30 33709 P 01/11-04 52 0 13 71 W 17 1 1216 W 32 33745 P 01/11-05 77 0 13 71 W 10 10 2 1 NW48 1089 W 33 31660 P 01/11-06 77 0 13 71 W 10 1 1098 W 33 31488 P 01/11-07 77 0 14 70 W 10 1 1106 W 32 31317 P 01/11-08 77 0 16 64 W 10 10 2 1 NW43 1114 W 32 31146 P 01/11-09 77 0 19 57 W 10 1 1588 W 33 46535 F 01/11-10 77 0 22 52 W 10 1 2062 W 35 61924 G 01/11-11 77 0 24 47 W 10 10 2 1 NW51 2535 W 35 77314 G 01/11-12 77 0 26 44 W 9 1 2838 NW 36 88180 G 01/11-13 77 0 28 43 W 9 1 3142 NW 36 99046 G 01/11-14 77 0 28 43 W 10 10 2 1 NW52 3445 NW 37 109913 V 01/11-15 77 0 28 44 W 10 1 2958 NW 35 90928 G 01/11-16 77 0 27 46 W 10 1 2472 NW 32 71943 G 01/11-17 77 0 25 50 W 10 10 2 1 N60 1985 NW 31 52957 F 01/11-18 77 0 23 51 W 10 1 1729 NW 28 42266 F 01/11-19 77 0 22 52 W 10 1 1473 W 23 31575 P 01/11-20 77 0 21 51 W 10 10 2 1 NW58 1217 W 20 20884 P 01/11-21 77 0 20 49 W 10 1 1310 W 23 26418 P 01/11-22 77 0 19 47 W 10 1 1403 W 25 31951 P 01/11-23 77 0 19 45 W 12 12 2 1 NW67 1495 W 29 37485 P 01/12-00 77 0 18 46 W 12 1 1423 W 31 37879 P 01/12-01 77 0 17 48 W 12 1 1351 W 33 38273 P 01/12-02 77 0 17 49 W 12 12 2 1 NW51 1280 W 35 38668 P 01/12-03 77 0 17 50 W 10 1 1223 W 36 37396 P 01/12-04 77 0 17 50 W 10 1 1167 W 36 36125 P 01/12-05 77 0 16 51 W 10 10 2 1 NW60 1111 W 36 34854 P 01/12-06 77 0 17 51 W 10 1 1301 W 37 41395 F 01/12-07 77 0 17 50 W 10 1 1492 W 37 47937 F 01/12-08 77 0 19 48 W 10 10 2 1 NW49 1683 W 37 54478 F 01/12-09 77 0 22 45 W 9 1 2480 W 37 77786 G 01/12-10 77 0 24 43 W 9 1 3277 NW 36 101095 V 01/12-11 77 0 27 40 W 9 9 2 1 NW67 4075 NW 36 124403 V 01/12-12 77 0 29 38 W 9 1 4424 NW 36 139500 V 01/12-13 77 0 30 36 W 10 1 4773 NW 37 154597 E 01/12-14 77 0 30 35 W 10 10 2 1 NW61 5122 NW 38 169693 E 01/12-15 77 0 30 34 W 9 1 4573 NW 36 144278 V 01/12-16 77 0 28 35 W 9 1 4023 NW 33 118862 V 01/12-17 38 0 25 42 W 8 8 2 1 N67 3473 NW 31 93446 G 01/12-18 38 0 23 45 W 9 1 2755 NW 30 72360 G 01/12-19 38 0 21 46 W 9 1 2037 W 28 51274 F 01/12-20 38 0 20 46 W 9 9 2 1 N62 1319 W 26 30187 P 01/12-21 38 0 19 46 W 10 1 1106 W 28 25729 P 01/12-22 38 0 17 47 W 10 1 893 W 28 21271 P 01/12-23 38 0 16 48 W 10 10 2 1 NW43 680 W 29 16812 P 01/13-00 38 0 15 52 W 10 1 569 W 25 13207 P 01/13-01 38 0 15 56 W 10 1 459 W 23 9602 P 01/13-02 38 0 14 59 W 10 10 2 1 NW31 348 W 20 5997 P 01/13-03 38 0 14 60 W 10 1 372 W 21 6567 P 01/13-04 38 0 13 59 W 12 1 396 W 21 7138 P 01/13-05 52 0 13 59 W 12 12 2 1 NW52 420 W 21 7708 P 01/13-06 52 0 13 60 W 12 1 01/13-07 52 0 15 59 W 10 1 01/13-08 52 0 18 54 W 10 10 1 01/13-09 52 0 22 48 W 10 1 01/13-10 52 0 26 44 W 12 1 01/13-11 52 0 30 40 W 13 13 1 01/13-12 52 0 33 36 W 13 1 01/13-13 52 0 36 33 W 13 1 01/13-14 52 0 36 32 W 13 13 1 01/13-15 52 0 36 32 W 13 1 01/13-16 52 0 34 34 W 13 1 01/13-17 52 0 31 31 NW 6 6 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090110.ELKRE.01/BOU