FNUS75 KGJT 121554
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAPIN PILE RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
854 AM MST MON JAN 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 MST ON JANUARY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STORM MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO IS NOT GOING
TO HAVE MUCH IMPACT ON CONDITIONS IN SOUTHWEST COLORADO. AS A
RESULT...MIXING WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO GENERATE GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSION DESPITE STRONG TRANSPORT FLOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR BETWEEN 1300 AND 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2300 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH THROUGH 1000...THEN
    BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15900-36500 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2500 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH THROUGH 1100...THEN NORTHWEST
    18 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...BRAD HARRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090112.CHAPI.01/GJT