FNUS73 KAPX 131327
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PILE BURN KINGS CORNER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
827 AM EST TUE JAN 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF THROUGH THE
LATE MORNING HOURS...BEING REPLACED BY A VERY COLD AIRMASS AND
INCREASINGLY GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) BY MID AFTERNOON. SNOW
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. SNOW TAPERING OFF.
TEMPERATURE.........14 AT IGNITION...FALLING TO THE LOW SINGLE
                    DIGITS BY MID AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 29
                    TO 32 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2800-3800
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1100) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1300).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN -6.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 28 MPH BECOMING WEST 9 TO 18
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 8.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX GOOD(400).

$$
FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE
REQUESTED BY...JOE ALYEA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090113.PILEB.01/APX