FNUS75 KBOU 131708 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF 165 A B...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1005 AM MST TUE JAN 13 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. SOME OF THE WIND WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE... CREATING GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE LOW...TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PROVIDE A PERIOD OF GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THE WINDS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE THIS EVENING...WITH POOR DISPERSION EXPECTED. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH COULD GENERATE A FEW SNOW SHOWERS. THE DISTURBANCE WILL INCREASE THE WINDS AGAIN...THOUGH NOT AS STRONG AS TODAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN LOW...BUT THE TRANSPORT WINDS WILL AGAIN BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PROVIDE A PERIOD OF GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION DURING THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-47. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15-25 MPH. SOME GUSTS TO 35 MPH AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25-35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20. MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-46. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF 165 A B. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/13-09 25 0 23 54 W 25 1 1101 W 31 28880 P 01/13-10 25 0 27 42 W 25 1 1496 W 30 37119 P 01/13-11 25 0 32 35 W 25 40 4 1 N30 1890 W 28 45357 F 01/13-12 25 0 35 30 W 24 1 2208 W 28 51845 F 01/13-13 25 0 37 28 W 23 1 2527 NW 26 58332 F 01/13-14 35 0 38 27 W 23 36 4 1 N44 2845 NW 26 64820 G 01/13-15 35 0 38 27 W 22 1 2541 NW 25 57211 F 01/13-16 35 0 37 30 W 22 1 2236 NW 25 49602 F 01/13-17 52 0 34 35 W 21 33 3 1 N52 1931 NW 25 41994 F 01/13-18 52 0 31 39 W 21 1 1668 NW 24 35359 P 01/13-19 52 0 29 43 W 21 1 1404 W 23 28724 P 01/13-20 52 0 27 46 W 20 32 2 1 N38 1140 W 22 22089 P 01/13-21 52 0 26 49 W 18 1 986 W 21 18412 P 01/13-22 52 0 24 52 W 17 1 832 W 20 14736 P 01/13-23 44 0 23 55 W 16 25 2 1 N32 678 W 18 11059 P 01/14-00 44 0 22 57 W 15 1 610 W 18 9642 P 01/14-01 44 0 21 59 W 15 1 542 W 17 8226 P 01/14-02 44 0 20 61 W 15 23 2 1 NW33 474 W 16 6809 P 01/14-03 44 0 19 62 W 15 1 464 W 17 7012 P 01/14-04 44 0 19 63 W 15 1 455 W 18 7215 P 01/14-05 38 0 19 64 W 15 15 2 1 N48 584 W 21 10358 P 01/14-06 38 0 19 62 W 14 1 664 W 17 9926 P 01/14-07 38 0 20 60 W 13 1 744 NW 15 9493 P 01/14-08 38 0 22 53 W 12 12 2 1 N46 824 NW 13 9061 P 01/14-09 38 0 25 46 W 10 1 1208 NW 15 18149 P 01/14-10 38 0 27 40 W 10 1 1592 NW 18 27236 P 01/14-11 38 0 30 36 W 10 10 2 1 N56 1976 NW 21 36323 P 01/14-12 65 0 32 33 W 10 1 2476 NW 23 52642 F 01/14-13 65 0 33 32 W 10 1 2977 NW 25 68961 G 01/14-14 65 10 34 33 W 10 10 2 1 NW58 3477 NW 29 85280 G 01/14-15 65 10 33 34 W 10 1 2851 NW 25 66602 G 01/14-16 65 10 31 38 W 10 1 2226 NW 23 47924 F 01/14-17 65 20 27 43 W 10 10 2 1 NW64 1600 NW 21 29245 P 01/14-18 65 20 25 46 W 10 1 1199 NW 18 20921 P 01/14-19 65 20 22 48 W 10 1 797 W 15 12596 P 01/14-20 65 20 21 50 W 10 10 2 1 NW60 395 W 13 4271 P 01/14-21 65 20 19 52 W 10 1 335 W 12 3519 P 01/14-22 65 20 17 55 W 10 1 276 W 12 2767 P 01/14-23 65 20 16 58 W 9 9 2 1 NW48 216 W 10 2015 P 01/15-00 65 20 15 60 W 9 1 205 W 12 1974 P 01/15-01 65 20 14 63 W 10 1 195 W 12 1932 P 01/15-02 65 20 13 65 W 10 10 2 1 NW38 184 W 12 1891 P 01/15-03 65 20 13 68 W 10 1 174 W 12 1765 P 01/15-04 65 20 12 71 W 10 1 164 W 12 1639 P 01/15-05 67 12 12 73 W 10 10 2 1 NW33 154 W 12 1514 P 01/15-06 67 12 13 75 W 10 1 171 W 12 1678 P 01/15-07 67 12 13 76 W 10 1 189 W 12 1843 P 01/15-08 67 12 17 69 W 10 10 2 1 NW36 206 W 12 2008 P 01/15-09 67 12 21 62 W 10 1 549 W 13 6832 P 01/15-10 67 12 24 56 W 10 1 892 NW 14 11655 P 01/15-11 48 7 28 50 W 10 10 2 1 N33 1234 NW 15 16479 P 01/15-12 48 7 30 45 W 10 1 1938 NW 16 29129 P 01/15-13 48 7 33 41 W 10 1 2641 NW 17 41779 F 01/15-14 48 7 33 40 W 9 9 2 1 N33 3345 NW 18 54429 F 01/15-15 48 7 33 40 W 9 1 2793 NW 18 44697 F 01/15-16 48 7 31 42 W 10 1 2241 NW 17 34965 P 01/15-17 25 0 29 45 W 10 10 2 1 NW29 1690 NW 17 25233 P 01/15-18 25 0 26 48 W 10 1 1261 NW 15 17950 P 01/15-19 25 0 25 50 W 10 1 833 NW 13 10667 P 01/15-20 25 0 23 53 W 10 10 2 1 N32 405 W 9 3384 P 01/15-21 25 0 22 56 W 10 1 331 W 9 2768 P 01/15-22 25 0 21 58 W 10 1 256 W 9 2152 P 01/15-23 24 0 19 61 W 10 10 2 1 NW32 182 W 9 1536 P 01/16-00 24 0 18 64 W 9 1 168 W 10 1426 P 01/16-01 24 0 18 68 W 10 1 153 W 10 1317 P 01/16-02 24 0 17 71 W 10 10 2 1 N31 139 W 10 1208 P 01/16-03 24 0 17 73 W 10 1 135 W 10 1164 P 01/16-04 24 0 17 75 W 10 1 131 W 10 1119 P 01/16-05 15 0 17 76 W 10 10 2 1 N29 126 W 9 1074 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ED LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090113.SUGAR.02/BOU