FNUS74 KMOB 151257
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR GILMORE PASTURE...FL. DIV. OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
657 AM CST THU JAN 15 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST
FRIDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF TODAY...BRINGING WITH IT A COLD AND VERY DRY AIRMASS TO
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. NORTHERLY TRANSPORT
WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...AND DEWPOINTS
WILL FALL QUICKLY THROUGHOUT THE DAY. BY TONIGHT...A VERY COLD AIRMASS
WILL MOVE SOUTH TO THE COAST...WITH MIDDLE AND UPPER TEENS EXPECTED
OVER THE INLAND COUNTIES...WITH LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S EXPECTED CLOSER TO THE
COAST. HUMIDITY VALUES ON FRIDAY WILL FALL INTO THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT
RANGE...AND WILL REMAIN BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THIS WILL
LIKELY DRY OUT MOST FUELS VERY QUICKLY ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...


TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........7      7      7      7      4      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     48     52     51     41     36
RH..............55     39     32     32     47     52
20FT WIND (MPH).N 9    N 11   N 11   N 11   N 12   N 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   2700   2900   2700   1900   1100
MIX HGT (M).....610    820    880    820    580    340
TRAN WIND (MPH).N 17   N 17   N 20   N 21   N 18   N 20
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 8    N 8    N 9    N 9    N 8    N 9
DISPERSION......37     39     60     59     35     22
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      1      2
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
MAX HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-1900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 20 MPH.
LDSI................33 DECREASING TO 20 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 2 EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1700-1900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2200
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    2700-2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 3000-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LDSI................20 INCREASING TO 34 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 52 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 40 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2 DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...MOB FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...RANDY GILBERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090115.GILMO.01/MOB