FNUS72 KILM 161325
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR BSL HIGH SCHOOL...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
825 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FRIGID ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS
TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...USHERING IN SOME OF THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES THE BI-STATE REGION HAS SEEN UP TO A DECADE SO FAR.
THE CENTER OF THE ARCTIC HIGH WILL SLIDE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY...AND CONTINUING TO THE NE GULF COAST STATES ON SUNDAY.
THE NEXT DRY COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM A QUICK MOVING CLIPPER TYPE
SYSTEM PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE AREA...WILL PUSH THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY. CONTINUED DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES WILL OCCUR THROUGH MID-WEEK
...KEEPING THE COLD AIR ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE AREA.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-4200 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 16 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (EST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........0      1      24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............32     34     34
RH..............25     22     22
20 FT WIND......N 9    N 8    N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   4200   3800
TRANSPORT WIND..N 20   N 16   N 16

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 15.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1400-1800 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 15 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP............30     24     21     20     19     17
RH..............28     37     48     55     60     63
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 5    N 4    N 2    N 2    N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3800   3200   1800   1800   1700   1400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 16   N 15   N 17   N 17   N 16   N 15

.SATURDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP............16     18     30     37     39     39
RH..............63     54     31     23     23     28
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 2    N 4    NE 5   NE 5   NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   2200   3100   3100   3300   3100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15   N 13   N 13   N 13   N 12   NE 7

$$
FORECASTER...BACON
REQUESTED BY...ANGIE CARL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090116.BSLHI.01/ILM