FNUS74 KBMX 171317
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CLEAR CREEK...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
717 AM CST SAT JAN 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 CST ON JANUARY 17.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KNOTS
THIS MORNING RESULTING IN FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION.  RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE MIDDLE 20S FOR A COUPLE
OF HOURS AFTER NOON...BUT SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD USHER IN
ADDIONAL MOISTURE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON TO INCREASE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

A DRY AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALABAMA...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST
OF INTERSTATE 65.  AS TEMPERATURES WARM...RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 25%
BEFORE ON AND REMAIN THERE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. ANY
FIRES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GET OUT OF CONTROL QUICKLY.


.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............22     27     34     39     42     42
RH..............41     35     29     27     29     34
20 FT WIND......SE 2   S 6    S 8    S 8    S 8    S 8
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1500   2000   2200   1900   1500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    S 12   S 15   S 17   S 20   S 20
DISPERSION......4      8      29     34     34     32

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RAIN   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............40     38     36     36     37     37
RH..............38     47     58     67     73     77
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 8    S 8    S 8    S 7    SW 6
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     60     60     60     60     60
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   700    500    600    700    700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 17   S 15   SW 14  SW 15  SW 16  SW 15
DISPERSION......23     15     11     13     14     13

.SUNDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............39     41     44     43     47     45
RH..............77     79     76     77     64     65
20 FT WIND......SW 5   W 5    W 5    NW 6   NW 7   NW 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     40
MIX HGT (FT)....800    1900   2700   3000   3800   3900
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13   W 17   W 21   W 22   W 22   W 20
DISPERSION......11     19     28     53     59     53

$$
FORECASTER...SIRMON
REQUESTED BY...NIKKA JEFFERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090117.CLEAR.02/BMX