FNUS72 KJAX 181706
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BREAM POND...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1206 PM EST SUN JAN 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1205 EST ON JANUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 MPH AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. RH VALUES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH TODAY. ADDITIONALLY...DISPERSION
VALUES ABOVE 75 WILL BE COMMON THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE WARM AND BREEZY
SOUTHWEST WINDS.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO CLEAR THE AREA TONIGHT. MONDAY...RH
VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN 35 AND 40 PERCENT. ALTHOUGH RED
FLAGS ARE NOT FORECAST...BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS WILL AGAIN DRIVE DISPERSION
VALUES ABOVE 75 FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FIRE WEATHER REGION.

A SECONDARY...ALBEIT DRIER COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE ON MONDAY. COLD
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL LIKELY PREVENT RH VALUES FROM REACHING
CRITICAL LEVELS. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF COAST
REGION...USHERING IN EVEN DRIER CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25 TO30 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....82.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20.

TIME (EST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........52     52     58
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............65     68     66
RH..............50     44     50
20 FT WIND......SW 14  SW 15  SW 15
20 FT WIND GUST.30     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....4100   4100   2500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 25  SW 25  SW 25
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30
LAL.............1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6
                    TO 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........35     52     75     75     78     66
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............60     55     53     51     50     49
RH..............56     74     86     89     89     86
20 FT WIND......SW 12  SW 9   SW 9   SW 8   SW 7   W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   1000   700    700    400    500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 21  SW 17  SW 13  SW 13  SW 9   W 6
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 17 TO
                    26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....76.

$$
FORECASTER...ZIBURA
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090118.BREAM.01/JAX