FNUS72 KJAX 191513
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR 034 FT  GATES...USFS LAKE GEORGE R.D.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1013 AM EST MON JAN 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1015 EST ON JANUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION THE MINIMUM RH WILL DROP BELOW 35
PERCENT FROM JACKSONVILLE TO PALATKA AND THE OCALA NATIONAL
FOREST. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL TRANSIT THE REGION TONIGHT WITH
WINDS REMAINING 10 TO 15 MPH DURING THE NIGHT. WINDS WILL AGAIN
INCREASE TO NEAR 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ON TUESDAY AND COMBINED
WITH RH'S PLUMMETING TO AROUND 25 PERCENT...HAVE PROMPTED THE
ISSUANCE OF A FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

COLD AND DRY AIR WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK AND RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. SUSTAINED
WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....75.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........40     40     39     39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     68     69     69
RH..............58     41     35     41
20 FT WIND......W 10   W 15   W 17   SW 16
20 FT WIND GUST.25     30     30     25
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   4400   4400   2700
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18   SW 25  SW 25  SW 22
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-700 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........39     57     77     77     80     71
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............60     53     50     47     46     44
RH..............53     73     86     89     87     84
20 FT WIND......SW 12  SW 10  SW 13  W 13   W 14   W 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   1000   800    800    600    700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 22  SW 15  W 14   W 14   W 15   W 17

.TUESDAY...

MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 17 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 26
                    TO 31 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....84.

$$
FORECASTER...DEESE
REQUESTED BY...MARK PLOSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090119.034FT.01/JAX