FNUS74 KMAF 191551
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR NEW UNIT RX...TNC/USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
951 AM CST MON JAN 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE BURN SITE TODAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL. LOW RH VALUES BELOW 15% CAN
BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. LIGHT TO MODERATE WARMING ALOFT
COMBINED WITH WEAK TERRAIN DOMINATED WIND SPEEDS WILL ALLOW "POOR"
TO "FAIR" VENTILATION/SMOKE DISPERSION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
WEAK SOUTHEASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS...WHILE NORTHWESTERLY DOWNSLOPE
FLOW IS LIKELY OVERNIGHT. "FAIR" RH RECOVERY IS ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT
WITH VALUES RANGING IN THE LOW TO MID 40% RANGE. COOLER TEMPS AND
SLIGHTLY HIGHER MIN RH VALUES ARE LIKELY TOMORROW WITH NORTHEASTERLY
SURFACE WINDS EXPECTED LEADING TO SLIGHTLY BETTER SMOKE
MANAGEMENT/DISPERSION CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 61-65.
RH..................23 PCT AT IGNITION...MIN 10-14 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEAK SW WINDS AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    TERRAIN DOMINATED UPSLOPE WINDS 4-8 MPH IN THE
    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 /LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /4000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
    /24000-40000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE
TEMP............44           60
RH..............23           13
20 FT WIND DIR..SE           SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4             8
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....100         2000
TRANSP WIND DIR.N            NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8            15
HAINES INDEX....4            4

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 26-30.
RH..................MAX 36-41 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST TERRAIN DOMINATED DOWNSLOPE WINDS
    4 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 /LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /0-9000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CST)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............52           36           32
RH..............14           26           32
20 FT WIND DIR..W            NW           NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9            8            8
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....<1500        <100        <100
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW           NW           NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3            3            2
HAINES INDEX....4            4            4

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.
RH..................MIN 16 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 /LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD /0-48000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
                    GOOD /52000 KNOT-FT/ LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............29           38           54
RH..............37           28           16
20 FT WIND DIR..N            NE           NE
20 FT WIND SPD..9            10           10
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....< 100        200         2000
TRANSP WIND DIR.N            NE           NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12           8            16
HAINES INDEX....3            3            4

$$

FORECASTER...GITRO
REQUESTED BY...JASON WRINKLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090119.NEWUN.01/MAF