FNUS72 KTAE 191526
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR 406...NATURAL RESOURCES EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1026 AM EST MON JAN 19 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1020 CST ON JANUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM CST UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON DUE TO BRIEF DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35
PERCENT COMBINING WITH DISPERSION INDICES GREATER THAN 75...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...A DRIER AND SLIGHTLY
COOLER AIRMASS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION CREATING RED FLAG
CONDITIONS FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ANOTHER
FRONT WILL BRING EVEN COLDER AND DRIER AIR TO THE REGION FOR
TUESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY...THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE LOW ENOUGH
TO CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN MOISTURE IS FORECAST FOR LATER IN THE WEEK AS A
FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES AND STALLS NORTHWEST OF THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT SKY COVER).
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 7 TO 10 MPH AT IGNITION...WINDS
                    SHIFTING AND INCREASING TO WEST NORTHWEST AROUND
                    AROUND 15 MPH AND GUSTY BY 3 PM CST.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL
                    BY 3 PM CST.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 11 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CEILING HEIGHT......15000 FT.
DISPERSION INDEX....87.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     60     63     61     54     49
RH..............52     40     35     34     50     57
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 12   W 15   WNW 14 WNW 13 NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     20     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT SKY COVER).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31.
RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25 PERCENT SKY COVER).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.
RH..................MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....102.

$$

FORECASTER GODSEY
REQUESTED BY...ROGER KENNEDY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090119.406__.01/TAE