FNUS75 KBOU 221338 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLER GULCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 634 AM MST THU JAN 22 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WEST WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND VERY DRY FUELS... .DISCUSSION...ONE LAST DAY OF UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL COMBINE WITH PERIODS OF GUSTY WEST WINDS TO PRODUCE CRITICAL WILDLAND FIRE CONDITIONS IN AND NEAR THE FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS. WIND SPEEDS IN THE BURN AREA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING WITH THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS EARLY TO MID-AFTERNOON. EXPECT AN END TO THESE CRITICAL WILDLAND FIRE CONDITIONS BY THIS EVENING WITH WIND SPEEDS DECREASING AND HUMIDITIES RISING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-60. MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-16 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH LATE THIS MORNING AND DURING THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18-30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL BY 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-31. MAX HUMIDITY........68-74%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY AND COLDER. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41. MIN HUMIDITY........48-54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 3-7 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 3600-4600 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 1800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MILLER GULCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/22-06 24 0 30 31 W 13 1 198 W 15 2702 P 01/22-07 24 0 31 33 W 12 1 243 W 16 3442 P 01/22-08 24 0 35 29 W 12 12 3 1 NW21 288 W 17 4182 P 01/22-09 24 0 39 24 W 10 1 1251 W 21 30612 P 01/22-10 24 0 43 20 W 12 1 2214 W 25 57041 F 01/22-11 21 0 48 16 W 12 12 3 1 NW13 3178 W 30 83471 G 01/22-12 21 0 51 15 W 14 1 3769 W 29 90527 G 01/22-13 21 0 53 14 W 15 1 4360 W 26 97583 G 01/22-14 21 0 54 14 W 15 24 3 1 W 6 4952 W 24 104640 V 01/22-15 21 0 54 15 W 14 1 4106 W 25 89904 G 01/22-16 21 0 51 17 W 12 1 3259 W 28 75168 G 01/22-17 62 3 46 22 W 10 10 3 1 W 3 2413 W 29 60432 G 01/22-18 62 3 43 27 W 10 1 1840 W 24 43443 F 01/22-19 62 3 40 32 W 10 1 1267 W 20 26453 P 01/22-20 62 3 38 38 W 10 10 3 1 SW15 694 W 16 9464 P 01/22-21 62 3 35 45 W 9 1 538 W 13 6645 P 01/22-22 62 3 33 52 W 8 1 382 W 9 3827 P 01/22-23 82 10 31 58 W 8 8 2 1 W22 226 SW 5 1008 P 01/23-00 82 10 30 64 W 8 1 212 SW 5 927 P 01/23-01 82 10 29 67 W 8 1 198 SW 5 846 P 01/23-02 82 10 28 69 W 8 8 2 1 W23 184 SW 5 765 P 01/23-03 82 10 27 71 W 7 1 186 SW 5 725 P 01/23-04 82 10 27 72 W 6 1 189 SW 5 686 P 01/23-05 84 19 27 72 W 5 5 2 1 W31 205 W 7 1259 P 01/23-06 84 19 27 72 W 8 1 233 W 8 1723 P 01/23-07 84 19 27 73 W 8 1 261 W 9 2188 P 01/23-08 84 19 29 68 SW 8 8 2 1 W26 289 W 10 2652 P 01/23-09 84 19 32 63 W 9 1 1197 W 14 18561 P 01/23-10 84 19 34 59 W 10 1 2106 W 16 34470 P 01/23-11 90 31 37 54 W 12 12 2 1 W40 3014 W 20 50379 F 01/23-12 90 31 38 50 W 10 1 3634 W 20 62556 G 01/23-13 90 31 40 47 W 9 1 4254 W 20 74732 G 01/23-14 90 31 42 43 NW 7 6 2 1 W43 5166 W 20 89690 G 01/23-15 90 31 41 44 NW 6 1 4054 W 16 63571 G 01/23-16 90 31 39 47 N 5 1 2942 SW 12 37451 P 01/23-17 90 31 35 56 NE 3 5 2 1 W46 1830 SW 7 11332 P 01/23-18 90 31 32 63 E 3 1 1325 SW 6 7968 P 01/23-19 90 31 29 68 SE 2 1 820 SW 6 4603 P 01/23-20 90 31 27 73 SE 2 3 2 1 W47 314 S 5 1239 P 01/23-21 90 31 25 78 CALM 1 271 SW 5 1110 P 01/23-22 90 31 23 82 CALM 1 228 SW 5 980 P 01/23-23 90 31 22 86 CALM 3 2 1 W47 184 SW 6 851 P 01/24-00 90 31 20 90 SW 2 1 169 SW 6 777 P 01/24-01 90 31 19 93 SW 3 1 154 SW 6 704 P 01/24-02 90 31 19 96 SW 5 3 2 1 W44 139 SW 6 631 P 01/24-03 90 31 18 97 SW 5 1 136 SW 6 697 P 01/24-04 90 31 18 98 SW 6 1 133 W 7 764 P 01/24-05 75 10 18 97 SW 6 3 2 1 W36 131 W 7 830 P 01/24-06 75 10 18 97 W 7 1 147 W 8 1072 P 01/24-07 75 10 19 95 W 8 1 164 W 9 1313 P 01/24-08 75 10 23 83 W 9 3 2 1 W26 180 W 10 1555 P 01/24-09 75 10 28 70 W 12 1 623 W 16 13665 P 01/24-10 75 10 32 60 W 15 1 1066 W 23 25775 P 01/24-11 58 10 36 51 W 17 5 3 1 W32 1509 W 29 37885 P 01/24-12 58 10 39 44 W 20 1 2482 W 29 62813 G 01/24-13 58 10 41 39 W 21 1 3455 W 29 87742 G 01/24-14 58 10 42 36 W 21 7 2 1 W36 4428 W 29 112671 V 01/24-15 58 10 42 37 W 20 1 3651 W 29 91428 G 01/24-16 58 10 40 40 W 18 1 2874 W 28 70186 G 01/24-17 60 14 36 46 W 17 5 2 1 W45 2097 W 26 48944 F 01/24-18 60 14 34 50 W 16 1 01/24-19 60 14 32 52 W 15 1 01/24-20 60 14 30 54 W 14 5 1 01/24-21 60 14 28 57 W 14 1 01/24-22 60 14 26 59 W 14 1 01/24-23 60 14 25 60 W 14 3 1 01/25-00 60 14 23 62 W 14 1 01/25-01 60 14 23 64 W 14 1 01/25-02 60 14 22 66 W 13 3 1 01/25-03 60 14 21 67 W 12 1 01/25-04 60 14 21 67 W 10 1 01/25-05 62 11 21 67 W 8 3 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...KRIS HEINY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090122.MILLE.01/BOU