FNUS73 KTOP 221414
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR PT-115...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
814 AM CST THU JAN 22 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0810 CST ON JANUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO START OUT LIGHT AND SOUTHERLY THIS MORNING...AND
THEN VEER SLIGHTLY WITH TIME INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS TO THE
SOUTHWEST.  WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN 10 MPH TODAY.  THE
PRIMARY FIRE WEATHER CONCERN OF THE DAY WILL BE REGARDING POTENTIALLY
LOW RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON.  WHILE SOME MEAGER MOISTURE RETURN IS
ANTICIPATED WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW...AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES CLIMBING
INTO THE LOWER 60S WILL DROP RH VALUES INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20 PERCENT
RANGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON.  SMOKE DISPERSAL IS ALSO EXPECTED TO REMAIN
POOR TODAY WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL INVERSION KEEPING MIXING HEIGHTS LOW
TODAY DESPITE THE WARM UP.  NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AND ASIDE FROM
SOME PASSING CIRRUS...SUNNY SKIES SHOULD PREVAIL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........33 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
                    9 MPH THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /3400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.MAX...POOR
                    /9900 KNOT-FT/.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 11 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN...POOR /1500 KNOT-FT/.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 35.
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX...EXCELLENT /64100 KNOT-FT/.

$$
FORECASTER...CAVANAUGH
REQUESTED BY...ADAM ROGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090122.PT115.01/TOP