FNUS74 KLZK 251416 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR CREEK 1 2...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 816 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 CST ON JANUARY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MAJOR ICING EVENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AND NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS WINTER STORM CONTINUES TO EVOLVE. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP COLD AIR IN PLACE WHILE MOISTURE WILL WORK ITS WAY OVER THE COLD AIR ON SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT. THE MOISTURE WILL RIDE UP AND OVER THE COLDER SURFACE AIR WITH WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LIKELY OVER THE NORTH BY LATE MONDAY. FREEZING PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE PROLONGED DURATION OF THE EVENT AND AMOUNT OF ICE EXPECTED WILL LIKELY LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES AND WIDESPREAD TIMBER DAMAGE. A WINTER STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ROUGHLY NORTH OF A FORT SMITH TO CLINTON TO HEBER SPRINGS TO NEWPORT LINE. SOUTH OF THIS LINE...A WIDESPREAD COLD RAIN IS EXPECTED. A SLIGHT DEVIATION OF THE EXPECTED STORM TRACK WOULD CHANGE THE WATCH AND LIKELY WARNING AREA. AS THE SYSTEM PULLS OUT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FREEZING PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY SHIFT SOUTHWARD BEFORE ENDING LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE EXACT TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVIEST ICING IS STILL IN QUESTION BUT NORTHERN ARKANSAS SHOULD BRACE FOR SIGNIFICANT ICING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED FLURRIES EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........31 AT IGNITION...MAX 41. RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCT WEATHER TYPE....SW TEMP............31 33 36 38 39 40 41 41 40 39 RH..............45 45 44 42 40 39 38 41 43 43 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 12 13 14 15 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...44 REQUESTED BY...KURT RADCLIFF TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090125.CEDAR.01/LZK