FNUS75 KBOU 262111 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CUB CREEK UNIT 6 PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 210 PM MST MON JAN 26 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST OF THE STATE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH. IT WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY TUESDAY MORNING BUT NO MORE SNOW IS EXPECTED. CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY IMPROVE THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY WITH PARTIAL CLEARING BY THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SNOW UNTIL 0100...THEN THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH. MIN TEMPERATURE.....-2. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 7-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTHWEST UP TO 4 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....27. MIN HUMIDITY........40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 13-19 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....18. MAX HUMIDITY........59%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 14-21 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40. MIN HUMIDITY........36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 40-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4400-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CUB CREEK UNIT 6 PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/26-14 100 70 17 83 E 6 6 2 1 W51 2393 SW 9 19609 P 01/26-15 100 70 16 84 E 6 1 2281 SW 8 15226 P 01/26-16 100 70 15 89 E 6 1 2169 S 6 10842 P 01/26-17 100 80 11 96 E 6 6 2 1 SW32 2056 S 3 6459 P 01/26-18 100 80 9 100 E 6 1 2095 S 3 6031 P 01/26-19 100 80 7 100 E 5 1 2134 S 3 5602 P 01/26-20 100 80 6 100 E 5 5 2 1 SW25 2173 SE 2 5174 P 01/26-21 100 80 4 100 E 5 1 1808 S 3 4531 P 01/26-22 100 80 3 100 E 3 1 1443 S 3 3887 P 01/26-23 90 80 2 100 E 3 3 2 1 W12 1079 SW 3 3243 P 01/27-00 90 80 1 100 E 3 1 838 SW 3 2381 P 01/27-01 90 60 0 100 SE 3 1 598 SW 2 1518 P 01/27-02 90 60 -1 100 SE 3 3 3 1 W14 358 SW 2 655 P 01/27-03 90 60 -1 100 S 2 1 315 SW 3 731 P 01/27-04 90 60 -1 100 W 2 1 271 W 3 807 P 01/27-05 67 0 -1 100 NW 2 2 3 1 W18 228 NW 5 882 P 01/27-06 67 0 -1 100 NW 2 1 339 NW 7 2104 P 01/27-07 67 0 1 100 NW 2 1 369 NW 8 2858 P 01/27-08 67 0 5 96 NW 3 3 3 1 W18 399 NW 10 3613 P 01/27-09 67 0 10 77 NW 5 1 1027 NW 14 16316 P 01/27-10 67 0 14 68 NW 6 1 1655 NW 17 29019 P 01/27-11 44 0 19 60 NW 7 7 3 1 NW14 2282 NW 21 41723 F 01/27-12 44 0 22 51 NW 9 1 3145 NW 23 66692 G 01/27-13 44 0 25 45 NW 12 1 4008 NW 25 91661 G 01/27-14 44 0 26 41 NW 14 14 3 1 NW12 4871 NW 28 116629 V 01/27-15 44 0 26 40 NW 14 1 4247 NW 29 104052 V 01/27-16 44 0 25 40 W 16 1 3623 NW 30 91476 G 01/27-17 40 0 24 41 W 18 18 4 1 N44 2598 NW 30 68470 G 01/27-18 40 0 23 41 W 18 1 2167 NW 31 58460 F 01/27-19 40 0 22 41 W 18 1 1737 NW 32 48450 F 01/27-20 40 0 22 41 W 18 18 4 1 N43 1306 NW 33 38440 P 01/27-21 40 0 21 41 W 18 1 1187 NW 35 35399 P 01/27-22 40 0 20 42 W 18 1 1068 W 35 32358 P 01/27-23 40 0 20 41 W 18 18 2 1 NW39 949 W 36 29318 P 01/28-00 40 0 19 44 W 18 1 832 W 37 26679 P 01/28-01 40 0 19 47 W 18 1 716 W 39 24040 P 01/28-02 40 0 19 49 W 17 17 2 1 NW38 600 W 41 21401 P 01/28-03 40 0 18 51 W 17 1 529 W 39 18282 P 01/28-04 40 0 18 52 W 17 1 459 W 38 15164 P 01/28-05 67 0 18 53 W 17 17 2 1 NW43 389 W 36 12045 P 01/28-06 67 0 18 58 W 17 1 631 W 39 22538 P 01/28-07 67 0 20 59 W 17 1 872 NW 41 33031 P 01/28-08 67 0 23 56 W 17 17 2 1 NW33 1114 NW 45 43524 F 01/28-09 67 0 27 50 W 16 1 2240 NW 46 92808 G 01/28-10 67 0 30 46 W 16 1 3367 NW 47 142092 V 01/28-11 67 0 33 42 W 16 16 2 1 NW51 4493 NW 49 191376 E 01/28-12 67 0 36 40 W 16 1 4758 NW 48 200600 E 01/28-13 67 0 38 38 W 16 1 5023 NW 48 209825 E 01/28-14 67 0 39 37 W 17 17 2 1 NW53 5288 NW 47 219050 E 01/28-15 67 0 38 36 W 16 1 5208 NW 47 214222 E 01/28-16 67 0 37 36 W 15 1 5128 NW 47 209394 E 01/28-17 67 0 34 38 W 14 14 2 1 NW55 5048 NW 47 204566 E 01/28-18 67 0 32 41 W 14 1 4717 NW 45 185575 E 01/28-19 67 0 31 44 W 13 1 4386 NW 44 166583 E 01/28-20 67 0 29 45 NW 13 13 2 1 NW60 4055 NW 41 147592 V 01/28-21 67 0 28 47 W 13 1 3715 NW 40 130358 V 01/28-22 67 0 26 50 W 13 1 3375 NW 38 113123 V 01/28-23 79 0 25 53 W 13 13 2 1 NW52 3035 NW 37 95889 G 01/29-00 79 0 24 55 W 13 1 3044 NW 35 90627 G 01/29-01 79 0 24 57 W 12 1 3054 NW 32 85365 G 01/29-02 79 0 23 58 W 12 12 2 1 NW36 3063 NW 30 80103 G 01/29-03 79 0 23 59 W 10 1 3501 NW 29 87241 G 01/29-04 79 0 23 59 W 10 1 3940 NW 28 94378 G 01/29-05 79 10 23 59 W 9 9 2 1 NW41 4378 NW 26 101516 V 01/29-06 79 10 23 58 W 10 1 4671 NW 26 109566 V 01/29-07 79 10 23 56 W 12 1 4965 NW 28 117616 V 01/29-08 79 10 25 51 W 10 10 2 1 NW48 5258 NW 28 125666 V 01/29-09 79 10 28 46 W 10 1 6069 NW 29 155435 E 01/29-10 79 10 30 41 NW 13 1 6881 NW 31 185205 E 01/29-11 79 10 32 37 NW 13 13 2 1 N48 7692 NW 32 214975 E 01/29-12 79 10 34 34 NW 14 1 7994 NW 33 233626 E 01/29-13 79 10 35 32 NW 14 1 8295 NW 35 252277 E 01/29-14 79 10 35 31 NW 14 14 2 1 N47 8597 NW 37 270928 E 01/29-15 79 10 35 32 NW 12 1 7418 NW 33 222144 E 01/29-16 79 10 33 33 NW 10 1 6239 NW 31 173360 E 01/29-17 32 0 30 38 W 9 9 2 1 N41 5059 NW 29 124577 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...KIRK A WILL REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090127.CUBCR.01/BOU