FNUS75 KGJT 281019
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAPIN PILE RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
319 AM MST WED JAN 28 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PROVIDE GOOD MIXING THIS
AFTERNOON. CHAPIN RAWS IS ALREADY SHOWING SOME OF THIS NORTHWEST
GRADIENT WINDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LATEST MODELS SHOW A COUPLING OF
THE GRADIENT WINDS TO THE SURFACE AFTER 1200. BUT GUSTY WINDS OF
20 MPH OR MORE WILL INDICATE GOOD DISPERSAL CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING. THURSDAY LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER BURN OPPORTUNITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 13
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 13
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 24 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...BRAD HARRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090128.CHAPI.01/GJT