FNUS72 KMLB 291058
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SSR6AND ORS SIDE WILDFIRE...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
558 AM EST THU JAN 29 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH FROM THE NORTHERN PENINSULA
TOWARD SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY DURING THE EARLY EVENING. INCREASING
CLOUDINESS IS EXPECTED BY MID AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES BY
SUNSET. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY MID AFTERNOON...BUT
A HIGHER CHANCE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS AS THE COLD
FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. AHEAD OF THE FRONT SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
BECOME SOUTHWEST BY LATE AFTERNOON AND THEN NORTHWEST WELL AFTER SUNSET.
THE PROBABILITY FOR LIGHTNING STORMS IS LOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT CANNOT
BE RULED OUT...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE HAS BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST.
IF A THUNDERSTORM WERE TO DEVELOP...THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS FROM 3 TO
6 PM WOULD BE THE MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME. LVORI VALUES AROUND 5 ARE
EXPECTED. SOUTHWEST WINSD OF 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING WILL BECOME
NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND SOME LOWER STRATUS CLOUDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS BY LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4400 FT AGL IN AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....            SCH SCH  CH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....             RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............77  79  81  80  80  79  76  73  70  69  67  65
RH..............69  63  57  58  59  61  67  75  83  87  91  96
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..10  11  12  13  13  12  10   9  6   5   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.16  15  18  18  18  16  15  14  8   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    ...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500-1600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8
                    TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....18.
LVORI...............5.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.
LVORI...............1.

$$
FORECASTER...VOLKMER
REQUESTED BY...EVAN HALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090129.SSR6A.01/MLB