FNUS72 KMHX 311203 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG SHOAL RIVER 2 5 1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 703 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0715 EST ON JANUARY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE GULF COAST STATES TODAY...THEN SLIDE OFFSHORE SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THIS PATTERN WILL LEAD TO DRY AND COOL WEATHER TODAY WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE NW TO W WINDS...WARMING BUT STAYING DRY TOMORROW AS WINDS SHIFT AND INCREASE FROM THE SW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600-5100 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........21 19 15 11 7 3 2 1 1 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............28 32 36 38 40 41 42 42 42 42 41 RH..............63 58 50 41 37 34 32 30 30 31 36 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 37 37 36 35 34 34 33 32 31 31 31 RH..............36 41 43 46 50 52 54 58 61 66 78 82 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 8 10 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............32 33 34 38 45 48 51 54 55 55 54 53 RH..............82 86 83 72 57 51 47 43 43 44 48 51 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 10 10 11 11 11 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 25 25 25 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WILLIS REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090131.LONGS.01/MHX