FNUS72 KMHX 311523 AAA FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG SHOAL RIVER 2 5 1...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1023 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0715 EST ON JANUARY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST TODAY...THEN SLIDE OFFSHORE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. 20 FT WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 25-30 MPH LATE THIS MORNING AS A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS MOVES INTO THE REGION...BUT GRADIENTS BEGIN TO RELAX THIS AFTERNOON AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS GUSTY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL ALSO BRING HUMIDITIES AROUND 30% THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE SUNDAY BRINGING SOUTHWEST FLOW WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND IMPROVED AFTERNOON MIN HUMIDITY VALUES. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH LATE THIS MORNING...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........21 19 15 11 7 3 2 1 1 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............29 32 36 38 40 41 42 42 42 42 41 RH..............63 58 50 41 37 34 32 30 30 31 36 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 11 11 10 10 8 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 30 30 25 25 20 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 37 37 36 35 34 34 34 33 33 33 32 RH..............36 41 43 46 50 52 54 58 61 66 72 79 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 8 10 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............32 33 34 38 45 48 51 54 55 55 54 53 RH..............82 86 83 72 57 51 47 43 43 44 48 51 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 10 10 11 11 11 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 25 25 25 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090131.LONGS.01/MHX