FNUS73 KTOP 312217
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SWAMP ANGEL...STATE/FEDERAL OFFICIAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
417 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1605 CST ON JANUARY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST SUSTAINED AT
NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH THROUGH 6 PM.  LOOKING AT THE
WILDFIRE SITE THESE FAIRLY STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE BLOWING
DIRECTLY AT A RIDGE TO THE NORTH.  THE WINDS BLOWING UP THE RIDGE COULD
CAUSE A LOCAL ACCELERATION OF THE FIRE UP AND ALONG THE RIDGE AXIS.  RH
VALUES LOOK TO BE AT THEIR WORST AT CURRENT TIME.  RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN IN THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE THROUGH 6 PM.  AFTER SUNSET
RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO RECOVER QUICKLY...INCREASING TO THE 30 PERCENT
RANGE BY 8 PM.  WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET WITH
THE WINDS LOSING THEIR GUSTY NATURE ALMOST IMMEDIATELY.  SUSTAINED WINDS
WILL DIMINISH MORE SLOWLY AFTER 6 PM...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 10
TO 15 MPH RANGE BY 8 PM.  RIGHT AROUND THE 9 TO 10 PM RANGE THE LEADING
EDGE OF A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE WILDFIRE AREA...
QUICKLY SHIFTING WINDS AROUND FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST.

.REST OF TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........65 AT REQUEST...MAX 71.
RH..................17 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 15.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 17 MPH AT
                    REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17
                    MPH.
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 28.
RH..................MAX 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8
                    TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8
                    TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47.
RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CAVANAUGH
REQUESTED BY...RODNEY REDINGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090131.SWAMP.02/TOP