FNUS72 KMHX 011353 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PETTIFORDS CREEK...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 853 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE REGION WILL SLOWLY PUSH EAST TODAY AND TONIGHT WHILE A DISTURBANCE PASSES WELL TO THE NORTH. THIS WILL BRING MODERATE SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. MOISTURE HAS INCREASED WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW AND MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL BE AROUND 40%. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-4400 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH. TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........8 9 10 5 7 11 15 18 WEATHER COV.....NONE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TEMP............48 49 52 56 58 58 57 56 RH..............56 54 48 43 39 40 42 45 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 11 12 12 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 14 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........21 26 39 51 53 50 WEATHER COV.....NONE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............53 50 47 46 45 43 RH..............54 70 81 83 84 88 20 FT WIND......SW 9 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 W 4 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 10 5 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-3700 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 47 52 58 63 77 WEATHER COV.....NONE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............43 43 52 57 60 59 RH..............89 88 64 56 52 57 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090201.PETTI.01/MHX