FNUS74 KAMA 021814
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR JA RANCH - BOGGY...JA CATTLE CO.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1214 PM CST MON FEB 2 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON FEBRUARY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE BURN SITE
DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...DRY FUELS...SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS...AND FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AROUND 15 PERCENT BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.
RH..................18 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-6000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING
                    TO 7500 FT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3500 FT
                    AGL NEAR SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH NEAR SUSNET.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 26.
RH..................MAX 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5000-6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ANDRADE
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW BIVINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090202.JARAN.01/AMA