FNUS72 KJAX 021225 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST BIG GUM...USDA - FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 724 AM EST MON FEB 2 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0740 EST ON FEBRUARY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .DISCUSSION... DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY WITH AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN AT TIMES. COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN BEHIND THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LATE TONIGHT AS A STRONG AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE CENTER BUILDS OVER THE REGION THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS VERY DRY AIR SETTLES OVER THE REGION. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 MPH TODAY. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AND WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....18. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........84 84 86 86 90 90 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............43 52 59 62 62 59 RH..............99 93 77 69 66 81 20 FT WIND......E 2 SE 3 S 7 S 8 S 8 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1300 1300 2100 2100 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 3 SE 7 SE 7 S 9 S 9 S 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 60 60 60 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....10. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........95 96 88 88 72 50 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............55 49 47 45 43 42 RH..............81 99 100 100 99 88 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 2 W 6 NW 8 NW 10 NW 13 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 400 400 400 500 600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 W 2 NW 7 NW 7 NW 12 NW 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAXIMUM NEAR 3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....58. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SHASHY REQUESTED BY...WAYNE BURNS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090202.EASTB.01/JAX