FNUS76 KLOX 030328
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHARLTON CHILAO...USFS LPF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
728 PM PST MON FEB 2 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1640 PST ON FEBRUARY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN PROVIDED BY STRONG SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE DRY AND
WARM CONDITIONS OVER THE BURN AREA. CLEAR SKIES AND OFFSHORE
BLOWING WINDS WITH NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
OCCUR OVER MUCH OF THE BURN AREA TUESDAY. PEAK WINDS WILL OCCUR
DURING THE MORNING HOURS WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS AT RIDGETOP
LEVEL AS COMPARED TO LOWER ELEVATIONS. LOW HUMIDITY READINGS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD WITH POOR OVERNIGHT
RECOVERY.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL WEAKEN ON WEDNESDAY AS A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES THE WEST COAST. A RETURN OF
MORE TYPICAL AFTERNOON ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITY VALUES.

THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL COME ONSHORE THURSDAY BRINGING RAIN
LIKELY TO THE BURN AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL BE PREVALENT FOR LATE WEEK.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
    GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL RISING TO 3750 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.

.REST OF THE WEEK...

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......VARIABLE 3-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTH.

.THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50S.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT.
WIND................SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL/MORRIS
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LOWDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090202.CHARL.01/LOX

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