FNUS72 KMHX 021326 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR DUDLEY...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 826 AM EST MON FEB 2 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0825 EST ON FEBRUARY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST TODAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY THEN LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. ANOTHER SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST LATE TUESDAY AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........59 59 58 58 58 62 68 75 82 89 WEATHER COV.....NONE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TEMP............45 51 53 55 58 59 59 59 58 57 RH..............82 76 63 61 57 53 53 55 59 66 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 15 MPH LATE. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........89 93 95 97 96 92 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 51 47 46 45 43 RH..............66 74 83 83 79 82 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 3 W 3 W 4 W 5 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-6000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........87 82 68 53 49 47 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............43 41 43 44 45 44 RH..............76 76 67 60 53 51 20 FT WIND......NW 8 NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 NW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090202.DUDLE.01/MHX