FNUS76 KLOX 021806
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHARLTON CHILAO...USFS ANF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1006 AM PST MON FEB 2 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE COMBINATION OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
THE GREAT BASIN AND OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL RESULT IN CLEAR
SKIES AND OFFSHORE BLOWING WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE BURN AREA ON TUESDAY.
PEAK WINDS WILL OCCUR DURING THE MORNING HOURS WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS AT RIDGETOP LEVEL AS COMPARED TO LOWER ELEVATIONS. ALREADY LOW
HUMIDITY READINGS, IN THE TEENS AND LOW 20S, WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY.

THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN BEGINS TO WEAKEN ON WEDNESDAY
AS A NEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL
BRING AN END TO THE OFFSHORE FLOW AND RESULT IN A RETURN OF MORE
TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZES. COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITY
VALUES ALSO CAN BE EXPECTED.

THIS NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL COME ONSHORE THURSDAY BRINGING A
CHANCE OF RAIN TO ALL AREAS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH SNOW
AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. NEEDLESS TO SAY, MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
HIGHER HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE PREVALENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO
                    12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL RISING TO 2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.

.REST OF THE WEEK...

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......VARIABLE 3-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTH.

.THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50S.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-80 PERCENT.
WIND................SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MORRIS
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LOWDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090204.CHARL.01/LOX