FNUS76 KLOX 040627
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PONDS PROJECT...USAF VBG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1027 PM PST TUE FEB 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 PST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAKENING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW A
DEVELOPING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO MOVE OVER THE BURN AREA FOR
LATE WEEK. A WARM AND DRY AIRMASS WILL MODERATE SOME ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH INCREASING MOIST AND COOLER CONDITIONS MOVING
OVER THE FIRE SITE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION COULD BEGIN AS
SOON AS MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR AS LATE AS MID-MORNING
THURSDAY. CHANCES OF WETTING RAINS WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT
THURSDAY WITH A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING SPREADING OVER THE BURN
AREA. AN UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY LATE.
    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 MPH OR LESS EARLY...BECOMING
    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20
    MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT OR LESS IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
    TO 3250 FT MSL IN THE AFTERNOON
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH EARLY...INCREASING
    TO 17 TO 20 MPH BY 1100 HOURS.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN BECOMING LIKELY LATE
    WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........96-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
    EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 MPH OR LESS IN THE
    EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH WITH
    GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY
    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 20 TO 24 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2750 FT MSL IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 500
    FT MSL OR LESS...INCREASING 7000 FT MS LATE.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 17 MPH IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
    TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...INCREASING TO 25 TO 29
    MPH LATE

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-60 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........85-89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
            35 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 24 TO 28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
    35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......18000 FT MSL
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...DAN ARDOIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090204.PONDS.01/LOX

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