FNUS72 KTAE 040937
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALAQUA CREEK...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
437 AM EST WED FEB 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY COLD AND DRY AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
FRONT WILL LEAD TO RED FLAG CONDITIONS TODAY AND THURSDAY. EVEN
THOUGH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID
TO UPPER 40S TODAY...THE EXTREMELY DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE TEENS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA
TODAY. THIS WILL BE COMBINED WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS ABOVE 15
MPH AND VERY HIGH DISPERSION INDICES WHICH WILL FURTHER ENHANCE
THE FIRE DANGER. VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS ONCE AGAIN
ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY AND A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE
AGAIN ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 MPH.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............31     34     41     44     43     39
RH..............35     29     24     22     24     29
20 FT WIND......N 10   N 12   N 13   NW 12  NW 8   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.30     30     30     25     20     15
DISPERSION......95.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 23 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION..........70.

$$
FORECASTER...GIBBS
REQUESTED BY...JERRY COON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090204.ALAQU.01/MOB