FNUS76 KLOX 041933 FWSLOX SPOT FORECAST FOR CRYSTAL LAKE PILE BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 1133 AM PST WED FEB 4 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL APPROACH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. HIGHER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING...WITH LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASING BY AFTERNOON. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA. WHILE THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN AS EARLY AS LATE AFTERNOON... RAIN WILL BECOME LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE BURN AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THIS FIRST SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND ONE INCH. A SECONDARY AND POTENTIALLY STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN BY LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40 AT 9 AM...RISING TO 45 BY EARLY AFTERNOON. MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 35 PERCENT AT 9 AM...RISING IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........ SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH AT 9 AM...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGETOP...........SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL AT 9 AM...RISING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH AT 9 AM...INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...GOMBERG REQUESTED BY...MIKE WHITCHER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090205.CRYST.01/LOX