FNUS72 KMHX 051438 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR CATFISH LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 938 AM EST THU FEB 5 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0940 EST ON FEBRUARY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE SW TODAY...THEN MOVE S/SE OF THE AREA INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT TODAY WITH VERY DRY AIR AND MODERATE NW WINDS EXPECTED. WINDS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND SHIFT MORE W...THEN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS TOMORROW FROM THE SW. THE DRY AIR MASS IS ONLY EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MODIFY INTO THE WEEKEND AS TEMPERATURES WARM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH. TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 4 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............25 27 30 33 34 35 35 34 33 RH..............55 43 39 30 28 25 25 26 32 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 11 12 11 8 7 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 18 19 20 19 17 15 11 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 16. MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........4 4 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............30 27 27 25 23 23 22 21 21 18 17 17 RH..............32 38 40 46 50 52 57 59 59 65 68 70 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W SW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............19 21 36 44 49 49 RH..............67 62 35 28 25 30 20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 SW 5 SW 7 SW 8 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...WILLIS REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090205.CATFI.01/MHX