FNUS72 KMHX 051608 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR CATFISH LAKE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1108 AM EST THU FEB 5 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0940 EST ON FEBRUARY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE SW TODAY. INCREASED FIRE DANGER THREAT TODAY WITH LOW RH VALUES AND MODERATE NW WINDS. HIGH WILL THEN MOVE S OF THE AREA OVER NE FLORIDA ON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE S/SE OF THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE S ACROSS THE AREA LATE SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REBUILD N OF THE AREA ON MONDAY THEN OFFSHORE TUESDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 17 MPH. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 1 1 2 3 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............30 32 33 34 35 34 33 RH..............35 30 28 26 25 26 28 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 12 11 8 7 5 20 FT WIND GUST.17 19 20 19 17 15 11 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 16. MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........4 4 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............30 27 27 25 23 23 22 21 21 20 19 19 RH..............32 38 40 46 50 52 57 59 59 62 64 67 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W SW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............19 19 21 27 36 41 44 48 49 50 49 47 RH..............67 67 62 50 35 30 28 25 25 27 30 35 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 4 5 6 7 8 8 7 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 11 15 15 15 15 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WILLIS REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090205.CATFI.01/MHX