FNUS73 KPAH 051344 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA9 BURN...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 744 AM CST THU FEB 5 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTHEAST WILL PROVIDE A RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY...WHICH WILL BEGIN A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND AND GRADUALLY INCREASE MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION. UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY...WITH EVEN WARMER CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY. BY SATURDAY NIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER OHIO VALLEYS. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH AND LINGER OVER OUR REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...PROVIDING CHANCES OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........28 AT IGNITION...MAX 39. RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1400-2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............28 33 36 38 38 38 37 RH..............44 36 32 29 31 32 37 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 16 18 21 23 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 28 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............36 34 33 32 33 33 RH..............40 45 47 49 53 56 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 6 S 6 S 5 S 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1600 1200 1000 800 800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 26 S 28 SW 28 SW 26 SW 25 SW 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55. RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 28 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............32 38 49 54 RH..............63 73 61 50 20 FT WIND......S 4G5 SW 6G10 SW 8G15 S 7G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1600 2200 2100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 SW 22 SW 22 SW 24 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...DREW MICKOLAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090205.TA9BU.01/PAH