FNUS74 KSJT 051649 FWSSJT SPOT FORECAST FOR COLORADO BEND RX BURN...TDPW NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO 1049 AM CST THU FEB 5 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... GOOD MORNING JEFF. AS YOU KNOW...WE ARE VERY DRY. THE GOOD NEWS IS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE HAS RETURNED TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THUS...AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 30 PERCENT. THE BAD NEWS IS A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...CURRENTLY DEVELOPING IN EASTERN NEW MEXICO...WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ACROSS YOUR BURN AREA TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW. THUS...LOOK FOR SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY...AT 20 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. HOWEVER...EXPECT EVEN STRONGER WINDS TOMORROW AS THE SURFACE TROUGH MOVES MUCH CLOSER TO THE NEW MEXICO AND TEXAS BORDER. ALSO...I'M SURE YOU KNOW THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE HAS ESTIMATED THE ERC FOR YOUR BURN AREA IS CURRENTLY IN THE 75 TO 89 PERCENTILE RANGE...AND ALL OF SAN SABA COUNTY IS UNDER A BURN BAN. PLEASE CALL US IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 28 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........55 46 45 42 40 38 36 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............58 62 65 67 68 68 68 RH..............72 65 55 46 41 39 38 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 12 14 14 14 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 25 25 25 25 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52. RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 23 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........35 34 32 32 35 41 48 54 60 67 73 80 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 62 61 59 58 57 56 56 55 54 53 53 RH..............39 47 52 57 66 75 87 88 90 88 91 90 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 8 8 9 10 11 11 11 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 20 20 25 25 25 25 20 20 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73. RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 37 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........83 65 62 59 56 53 50 47 44 40 37 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 52 53 57 61 65 68 70 72 73 73 73 RH..............91 89 87 77 66 58 52 49 46 45 44 45 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 12 13 14 15 17 17 17 16 15 14 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 30 30 35 35 35 35 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...HUBER REQUESTED BY...JEFF SPARKS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090205.COLOR.01/SJT