FNUS73 KTOP 051459
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR KT 24 25...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
859 AM CST THU FEB 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST IS BASED ON THE LOW LEVEL INVERSION HOLDING AROUND 2 KFT
THROUGH THE DAY. IF THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXES DEEPER...MIN RH WOULD
DROP IN THE 10 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO NEAR
70. AS IT STANDS...FORECAST IS FLIRTING WITH RED FLAG CRITERIA BETWEEN
1300 AND 1700 TODAY. WINDS SHOULD BE STEADY FROM THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST /AROUND 200 DEGREES/ WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFTS EXPECTED
TODAY. WINDS ON FRIDAY WILL AGAIN BE FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST...
BUT SHOULD BE STRONGER WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH AS THE SFC
PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES. THE BETTER CHANCES FOR MEASURABLE RAIN
WILL BE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH SOME SOAKING RAINS POSSIBLE. RAIN CHANCES
WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM AND CHANCE FOR PRECIP
IS PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    OTHERWISE SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /13000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.MAX...FAIR
                    /24400 KNOT-FT/.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN...POOR /2200 KNOT-FT/.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 19
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX...EXCELLENT /92400 KNOT-FT/.

$$
FORECASTER...WOLTERS
REQUESTED BY...ADAM ROGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090205.KT242.01/TOP