FNUS75 KGJT 062253
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHAY MESA...BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
353 PM MST FRI FEB 6 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST
WILL COME ON SHORE SATURDAY AND PASS OVER THE BURN SITE SUNDAY. STRONG
SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS AND/OR SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE EXCELLENT MIXING
SATURDAY. SATURDAY NIGHT MAY SEE A WEAK SURFACE INVERSION SET UP...BUT
IF SO...IT WILL BREAK AT TIMES IN SHOWERS AND WIND GUSTS. WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS ON SUNDAY WILL AGAIN PRODUCE EXCELLENT MIXING. RAIN IS MIXED
WITH SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY IS ESTIMATED AT 0.25 INCH...MAINLY ON SUNDAY.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AFTER 1200.
CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10-15 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......500 EXCEPT 1000+ IN SHOWERS BY DEFINITION.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...PAUL PLEMONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090207.SHAYM.01/GJT