FNUS72 KILM 070843
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN SWAMP BURN...NCDFR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
343 AM EST SAT FEB 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUED DRY CONDITION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND AS THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS PARKED JUST OFF
THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. A BACK DOOR AND DRY COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE
SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH AS A
WARM FRONT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6
                    TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-2800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO
                       13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      11 AM     2 PM      5 PM
SKY (%).........0         0         0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............51        60        59
RH..............47        37        44
20 FT WIND......SW 5      SW 7G15   SW 8G15
MIX HGT (FT)....1800      2800      2100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6       SW 10     SW 13

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH
                       AROUND 0 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........0         0         0         0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............56        50        47        46
RH..............50        63        68        70
20 FT WIND......SW 8G15   SW 6G10   SW 4G5    SW 2G5
MIX HGT (FT)....2100      600       400       400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13     S 0       S 0       S 0

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6
                    TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-4400 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 16
                       TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                       AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                       13 MPH LATE.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........0         0         0         1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............44        50        62        66
RH..............72        62        45        43
20 FT WIND......SW 2G5    SW 5G10   SW 7G15   SW 6G15
MIX HGT (FT)....400       600       1100      4400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 0       S 0       W 23      W 16

$$
FORECASTER...HOEHLER
REQUESTED BY...GARY M   CURCIO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090207.GREEN.01/ILM