FNUS72 KMLB 071033
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SJ3...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
533 AM EST SAT FEB 7 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...MARGINAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON WEST OF THE
BURN AREA ACROSS SEMINOLE AND ORANGE COUNTIES...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING CENTERED OVER NORTH FLORIDA AND
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES DURING THE DAY WITH MAINLY CLEAR NIGHTS WILL BE OBSERVED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE DRY AIRMASS OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE
SLOW TO MODIFY EVEN WITH THE LIGHT ONSHORE COMPONENT OF WIND.

LIGHT AND VARIABLE MORNING (20 FT) WINDS TO BECOME EAST/NORTHEAST AND
INCREASE TO 5 TO 7 MPH BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. MIN RH'S TO
FALL THIS AFTERNOON TO BETWEEN 35%-40% FOR 3-4 HOURS. WINDS THIS EVENING
WILL QUICKLY BECOME LIGHT WITH DRAINAGE FLOW BECOMING DOMINANT IF ANY
EXISTS OVER THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA. WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE OVERHEAD
...CLEAR SKIES AND GRADUALLY INCREASING MOISTURE TRAPPED NEAR THE
SURFACE...A SMALL THREAT FOR PATCHY FOG WILL EXIST NEAR THE BURN AREA.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL (EARLY MORNING) INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST/NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............59  62  66  69  69  69  70  66  62  58  57  55
RH..............60  52  43  37  37  37  36  45  56  69  72  74
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   4   6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL (LATE AFTN/EARLY EVENING) DECREASING TO
                    200-400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING/OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............6 TO 7.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL (EARLY-MID MORNING) INCREASING TO
                    3100-4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...JEFFREY R SCHARDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090207.SJ3__.01/MLB