FNUS74 KLIX 081907 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD FORT BAYOU FIRE...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 107 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU REQUIRE FURTHER INFORMATION...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTH OR SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BACK INTO THE AREA. REGARDING QUESTIONS... 1...WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND A FEW GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE SUNSET. EXPECT WINDS TO CALM A BIT OVERNIGHT BEFORE STRENGTHENING AGAIN MONDAY MORNING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND MIXING BRINGS DOWN STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT. HAVE INCREASED WIND SPEED FORECASTS FOR MONDAY BY A FEW MPH TO ACCOUNT FOR STRONGER MIXING AND TIGHTER GRADIENT. HOWEVER...IF MIXING CONTINUES TO BE STRONGER THAN FORECAST...COULD SEE WIND SPEEDS A LITTLE BIT HIGHER THAN FORECAST. EITHER WAY...WITH A STRONGER PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECTED...WIND SPEEDS WILL BE HIGHER MONDAY THAN THIS AFTERNOON. 2...EVEN THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH THE DEWPOINT OVERNIGHT... FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH THAT FOG DEVELOPMENT SHOULD NOT OCCUR. THE OBVIOUS CAVEAT IS THAT IF WINDS CALM MORE THAN EXPECTED...A FEW HOURS OF LIGHT FOG MAY BE POSSIBLE NEAR DAYBREAK AND IT SHOULD MIX OUT QUICKLY ONCE WIND SPEEDS COME BACK UP TO FORECAST VALUES. 3...2 HOUR INCREMENTS INCLUDED 4...CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE SLIM TO NONE THROUGH THE 30 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. A LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE WILL KEEP DIURNAL CONVECTION FROM FORMING AND THERE IS NO LARGE SCALE FORCING THAT WOULD OTHERWISE RESULT IN RAIN. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE INTO THE /SLIGHT CHANCE/ CATEGORY MONDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT SKIRTS THE EXTREME NORTHERN PART OF THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH /HIGH END CHANCE/ POPS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. .TODAY... TIME (CST) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............71 72 69 RH..............53 53 61 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 11 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 14 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 9 SE 10 SE 8 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 16 14 MIX HGT (FT-AGL)4000 4000 3200 MIX HGT (M-AGL).1220 1220 980 TRAN WIND (MPH).SE 11 SE 11 SE 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........45 45 45 49 49 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............63 59 56 54 53 52 RH..............72 83 90 96 96 96 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 8 8 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 10 6 6 8 MIX HGT (FT-AGL)2500 2500 1600 600 600 600 MIX HGT (M-AGL).760 760 490 180 180 180 TRAN WIND (MPH).SE 14 SE 14 SE 17 SE 21 SE 21 SE 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6 SE 6 SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 .MONDAY... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........55 55 60 68 68 70 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 57 64 70 71 68 RH..............96 90 75 63 63 70 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 8 SE 10 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 5 SE 8 SE 10 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT-AGL)500 500 2700 4500 4500 4100 MIX HGT (M-AGL).150 150 820 1370 1370 1250 TRAN WIND (MPH).SE 25 SE 25 S 25 S 25 S 25 S 28 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 11 SE 11 S 11 S 11 S 11 S 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...MIKE KHAYAT DISPATCHER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090208.OLDFO.01/LIX