FNUS74 KMEG 081247
FWSMEG

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP18...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
647 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TODAY
WITH LIGHTER WINDS. ON MONDAY...WINDY AND WARMER CONDITIONS
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO
EASTERN ARKANSAS BY LATE AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE
OVER THE ENTIRE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH WARM...
MOIST...UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL
OCCUR AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM/COLD FRONT MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA.

WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER TODAY AND GENERALLY FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL INCREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY ON MONDAY WITH SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH AND
GUSTS AT OR ABOVE 30 MPH EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON. BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

WITH HIGH WINDS ON MONDAY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS...FIRE DANGER WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.

TIME (CST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMPERATURE.....61     67     71     64
RH (%)..........69     58     49     63
20FT WIND MPH...SW 2   SW 3   S 2    SE 1
20FT WIND GUST..2      4      2      1
MIXHGT AGL FT...3872   5959   5729   4909
MIXHGT AGL M....1180   1816   1746   1496
MIXHGT MSL FT...4235   6313   6083   5275
MIXHGT MSL M....1290   1924   1854   1607
TRANS WND MPH...SW 10  SW 10  SW 8   S 7
TRANS WND M/S...SW 4   SW 4   SW 4   S 3
CATEGORY DAY....3      3      3      3
PRECIP CHC (%)..0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
MIXHGT AGL FT...4052   1159   0      0      0      0
MIXHGT AGL M....1235   353    0      0      0      0
MIXHGT MSL FT...4406   1413   0      177    188    145
MIXHGT MSL M....1342   430    0      53     57     44
TRANS WND MPH...S 7    SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 9   SE 8
TRANS WND M/S...S 3    SE 3   SE 3   SE 3   SE 4   SE 4
CATEGORY DAY....2      1      1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
MIXHGT AGL FT...0      357    1569   3284   4537   3122
MIXHGT AGL M....0      108    478    1000   1382   951
MIXHGT MSL FT...197    662    1936   3638   4893   3467
MIXHGT MSL M....60     201    590    1108   1491   1056
TRANS WND MPH...S 7    S 10   S 17   S 23   S 24   S 20
TRANS WND M/S...S 3    S 4    S 8    S 10   S 11   S 9
CATEGORY DAY....1      1      2      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...SNIEZAK
REQUESTED BY...PAUL REYNOLDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090208.COMP1.01/MEG