FNUS72 KMHX 081450 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR LOOP ROAD...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 950 AM EST SUN FEB 8 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REBUILD NORTH OF THE AREA ON MONDAY THEN MOVE OFFSHORE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY AND CROSS THE AREA EARLY THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST AFTER 3 PM. A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........7 8 9 10 13 16 19 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............60 63 67 67 67 66 64 RH..............44 40 36 39 43 45 48 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W WNW WNW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 8 8 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSION....POOR. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........22 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 31 30 29 29 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............61 56 56 53 50 50 48 47 47 46 45 44 RH..............58 72 72 80 86 83 86 86 83 83 82 82 20 FT WIND DIR..WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW NW N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........28 28 28 28 28 28 28 28 29 31 33 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............44 42 44 47 52 54 56 58 59 59 59 57 RH..............82 86 79 71 59 54 53 49 49 51 51 57 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090208.LOOPR.01/MHX