FNUS72 KTAE 081327
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 333...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
827 AM EST SUN FEB 8 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0825 EST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...DAYTIME HEATING WILL COMBINE WITH A DRY AIRMASS
TO PRODUCE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND.
ELSEWHERE...RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL STILL BE RATHER LOW...
BUT WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. LIGHT ONSHORE BREEZES
WILL GRADUALLY MOISTEN THE ATMOSPHERE SO THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS
APPEAR UNLIKELY MONDAY. WITH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVERHEAD
TODAY...DAYTIME DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE UNUSUALLY LOW. INCREASING
WINDS ALOFT WILL CAUSE IMPROVING DISPERSION VALUES MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5 TO 10 PERCENT SKY COVER). SHALLOW GROUND
                    FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................84 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NEAR CALM AT IGNITION...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH BY MID MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL AT IGNITION INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL
                    BY 3 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 4 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....19.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR SUNNY  SUNNY  MSUNNY MSUNNY MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     56     65     70     72     63
RH..............88     51     44     34     32     47
20 FT WIND......NE 2   NE 5   SE 6   S 6    S 5    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.
TRANSPORTS......E  3   E  3   E  3   SE  4  SE  4  S  4

REMARKS...DUE TO THE POSITION OF THE SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS THE
REGION...TRANSPORT WINDS MAY BECOME VARIABLE AND WEAK BETWEEN NORTHEAST
AND SOUTH DIRECTIONS WITH SPEEDS 4 MPH OR LESS.

$$

FORECASTER GODSEY
REQUESTED BY...KEN GORDON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090208.BURNU.02/TAE