FNUS74 KLZK 091854 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR 09 ICE STORM RECOVERY UPPER...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1254 PM CST MON FEB 9 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1240 CST ON FEBRUARY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED BUT WINDS PRECEDING THE SYSTEM WILL GUST TO 30 MPH AT TIMES. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING SEVERE WEATHER TO THE AREA WITH THE BEST CHANCES OVER THE WEST AND NORTHWEST. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING BOTH FRIDAY AND SUNDAY BUT NEITHER OF THESE SYSTEMS WILL BE AS STRONG AS THE ONES COMING THROUGH EARLY IN THE PERIOD. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........62 AT INCIDENT...MAX 65. RH..................69 PERCENT AT INCIDENT...MIN 62 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 47 TO 55 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND DECREASING TO 39 TO 43 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5000 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 14 MPH AT INCIDENT...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............62 63 65 65 63 62 RH..............69 67 65 65 67 70 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..18 18 17 16 16 15 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 30 30 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.11 11 10 10 10 9 EYE LVL WND GST.18 18 18 18 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.55 53 51 47 43 39 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 QPF............. .15 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 37 TO 43 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2800 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............61 58 56 54 52 51 RH..............70 76 81 86 90 93 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 13 S 12 SW 12 S 10 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S SW S S EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 7 7 6 5 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 8 5 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.37 38 40 43 41 38 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 QPF............. .10 $$ FORECASTER...L PYLE REQUESTED BY...TONY COLLINS TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20090209.09ICE.01/LZK