FNUS74 KLZK 091900 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR 09 ICE STORM RECOVERY LOWER...NPS BUFFALO NATIONAL RIVER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1257 PM CST MON FEB 9 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1244 CST ON FEBRUARY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED BUT WINDS PRECEDING THE SYSTEM WILL GUST TO 30 MPH AT TIMES. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING SEVERE WEATHER TO THE AREA WITH THE BEST CHANCES OVER THE WEST AND NORTHWEST. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING BOTH FRIDAY AND SUNDAY BUT NEITHER OF THESE SYSTEMS WILL BE AS STRONG AS THE ONES COMING THROUGH EARLY IN THE PERIOD. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........66 AT INCIDENT...MAX 65. RH..................59 PERCENT AT INCIDENT...MIN 58 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 32 TO 41 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4800 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT INCIDENT...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............66 66 66 65 64 63 RH..............59 61 62 65 67 70 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..20 20 18 17 16 16 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.12 12 11 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...4900 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.41 41 40 38 35 32 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 1600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............61 60 59 58 57 56 55 54 53 53 52 51 RH..............70 72 75 78 80 82 85 87 89 91 93 95 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 13 13 12 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.30 29 28 25 25 24 23 22 22 21 21 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...L PYLE REQUESTED BY...TONY COLLINS TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20090209.09ICE.02/LZK