FNUS72 KILM 100853 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN SWAMP BURN...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 353 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON FEBRUARY 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS AND DEWPOINT RISES THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH VERY GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERIES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW ON THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND. AT THE GREEN SWAMP BURN SITE...BURN OFF TEMPERATURE TODAY WILL BE AROUND 64 DEGREES LIKELY OCCURING BETWEEN 1045 AM AND 1115 AM. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-2300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........55 57 58 60 61 58 53 50 50 WEATHER COV.....PTY WEATHER TYPE....FOG TEMP............57 61 63 64 65 65 65 64 63 RH..............83 76 72 70 68 68 68 69 72 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 8 9 9 9 9 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.5 15 15 15 21 21 21 18 18 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........48 47 47 46 46 47 48 48 49 51 51 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............61 59 58 57 56 56 55 55 54 54 54 54 RH..............77 81 83 84 85 89 93 96 94 91 89 90 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW S SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 2 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.18 13 13 13 12 12 12 14 14 14 9 9 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600-4600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 22 TO 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........48 47 35 40 45 50 55 58 58 59 60 60 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............54 56 59 63 67 68 69 69 69 68 68 67 RH..............92 89 83 74 69 68 68 69 71 73 75 78 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 9 10 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 4.6 4.6 4.6 3.6 3.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 22 22 22 31 31 31 31 31 $$ FORECASTER...COLBY REQUESTED BY...GARY CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090210.GREEN.03/ILM