FNUS72 KILM 110855 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN SWAMP BURN...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 355 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WARM AND MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL INCREASE TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION. GUSTY WEST WINDS ON THURSDAY WILL USHER IN A DRIER BUT STILL MILD AIR MASS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA ON FRIDAY. SOUTHWEST LOW-LEVEL JET WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY. MAX WINDS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 2000 FT AGL...HOWEVER A BROTAK PROFILE WILL BE MET THROUGHOUT THE DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE. TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. RH..................77 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION TIME...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH AT IGNITION TIME... INCREASING TO 37 TO 39 MPH. TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........64 63 61 60 61 62 63 61 WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW TEMP............65 67 68 69 69 68 67 66 RH..............77 72 68 66 68 70 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 10 11 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 30 30 30 30 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 2.0 4.4 4.4 4.4 3.9 3.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 37 37 37 39 39 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS. RAINFALL TOTALS AROUND 0.10 INCH OR LESS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55. RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 11 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING WEST 24 MPH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........59 58 57 57 57 63 76 83 75 60 52 58 WEATHER COV.....ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............65 65 64 64 64 63 62 61 61 60 59 58 RH..............74 75 75 78 79 81 80 81 84 87 90 85 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 11 11 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S SW SW SW W W TRANSP WIND SPD.39 29 29 29 31 31 31 30 30 30 24 24 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70. RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST AROUND 32 MPH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........44 19 17 15 12 10 7 6 6 6 6 7 WEATHER COV.....ISO WEATHER TYPE....RW TEMP............57 56 57 60 64 66 67 69 69 69 68 66 RH..............80 73 66 56 45 38 33 30 29 30 32 34 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 9 9 10 10 10 11 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 3.8 3.8 3.8 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.1 5.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.24 22 22 22 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 $$ FORECASTER...STEVE REQUESTED BY...GARY M CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090211.GREEN.01/ILM