FNUS71 KAKQ 130121
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUSSEX WILDFIRE...VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY (VADOF)
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
821 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2006 EST ON FEBRUARY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

....EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...

HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY. A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL MOVE INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC REGION FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY OVER THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 17 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (97000 FT-MPH)...DECREASING TO POOR
                    (25700 FT-MPH).

TIME (EST)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........7   10  13  17  20  20  20  20  21  21  21  21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............55  51  49  48  46  45  44  44  43  42  41  43
RH..............30  36  39  42  43  47  51  57  57  57  62  62
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..10  9   9   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   5   6
20 FT WIND GUST.20  15  13  12  12  11  10  10  10  10  10  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..27  18  15  15  15  15  14  14  12  10  9   9

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-4600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5100-6300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING
                    TO 4300 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 20
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO FAIR (1900-49400
                    FT-MPH)...INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT
                    (77000-123500 FT-MPH) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.



FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...ANGELA CONARY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090212.SUSSE.01/AKQ