FNUS74 KAMA 141506
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH CANYON...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
906 AM CST SAT FEB 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TO EASTERLY AT THE BURN SITE BY NOON...AND
THEN SHIFT TO SOUTHERLY BY MID AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GENERALLY STAY
BELOW 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE DAY. OVERNIGHT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLY TO NORTHERLY BY MORNING. LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE BY NOON...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB
ONLY INTO THE UPPER 40S AT THE BURN SITE. AS A RESULT RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONLY DROP TO JUST BELOW 30 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 9 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SJOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...ASHLEY SAMBERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090214.SOUTH.01/AMA