FNUS72 KJAX 141001
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE LAKE GEORGE WILDERNESS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
501 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA TODAY
AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE
OVER THE AREA WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BURN AREA...BUT NOT UNTIL AFTERNOON. BEING SOUTH OF THE
WARM FRONT...DISPERSIONS WILL BE HIGHER OVER THE BURN AREA THAN
LOCALES FURTHER NORTH. AREAS OF FOG ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING AND INTO
OVERNIGHT HOURS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL
VALUES THIS WEEKEND.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 12 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 20 TO
                    21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........76     76     75     79
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............63     70     73     73
RH..............76     58     51     49
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 12  SW 13  SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     25     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   2100   3600   2400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15  SW 15  SW 21  W 20
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40
LAL.............1      1      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6
                    TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........79     95     93     93     89     90
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............70     65     64     62     61     60
RH..............57     68     74     78     80     82
20 FT WIND......W 8    W 7    SW 7   SW 7   SW 6   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   1200   800    800    400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 20   W 15   W 12   W 12   SW 8   SW 6
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     60     60     60     70     70
LAL.............2      2      2      2      1      1

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.

$$
FORECASTER...DEESE
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090214.LITTL.01/JAX